27 Jun · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1489
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Petukh
NP
🇺🇦Nazar Petukh
ELO 1492
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Petukh
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+3
H2H28-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.