27 Jun · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇺🇦Jan Simecek Jnr
ELO 1534
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jnr
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1462
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)