27 Jun · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1571
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Maltsev
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hrybeniuk
ELO 1550
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Hrybeniuk stays under total as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~70 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H8-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.