27 Jun · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1383
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bakin
EB
🇺🇦Evgenii Bakin
ELO 1466
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Bakin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)