27 Jun · 15:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YM
🇺🇦Yevhen Masko
ELO 1584
FormLLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Masko
EP
🇺🇦Evgeniy Pismenniy
ELO 1431
FormWLLLW
66%
34%
🌟Pismenniy covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Masko
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H94-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (94-49)