27 Jun · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1526
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Potapov
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1460
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Slozka covers set handicap as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Potapov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~71 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)