27 Jun · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VL
🇺🇦Vasyl Laskavyi
ELO 1313
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Aldayev
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1365
FormLWLLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Aldayev
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)