27 Jun · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1539
FormWWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Stetsenko
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1427
FormWWLWW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H15-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-12)