27 Jun · 12:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1524
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fencl
PF
🇺🇦Pavel Fencl
ELO 1531
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Kocvara covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Fencl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.