27 Jun · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1515
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Osadchyi
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1562
FormWLLLL
45%
55%
🌟Smyk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H3-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)