27 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VH
🇺🇦Vit Herrmann
ELO 1485
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krojidlo
JK
🇺🇦Jan Krojidlo
ELO 1508
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Krojidlo
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+23
H2H8-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.