27 Jun · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇺🇦Mykhailo Potapov
ELO 1526
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fashchevskyi
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1561
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.