27 Jun · 20:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TL
🇺🇦Tomas Liska
ELO 1494
FormWWLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1615
FormLLWWL
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Liska🌟Heinzl rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)