27 Jun · 20:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1483
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dobrovolskyi
YS
🇺🇦Yaroslav Sydorenko
ELO 1479
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Dobrovolskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.