27 Jun · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1546
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1608
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Brichacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (24)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)