28 Jun · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Savenkov
ELO 1570
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Savenkov
YS
🇺🇦Yaroslav Sydorenko
ELO 1490
FormWLWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Savenkov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)