28 Jun · 09:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1464
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Savenkov
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Savenkov
ELO 1570
FormWLWLW
39%
61%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Savenkov
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H16-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-8)