28 Jun · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1523
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kozoriz
YS
🇺🇦Yaroslav Sydorenko
ELO 1490
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+33
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.