28 Jun · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1464
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sydorenko
YS
🇺🇦Yaroslav Sydorenko
ELO 1490
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Sydorenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (18)
Fair odds · Sydorenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.