28 Jun · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1464
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kozoriz
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1523
FormLLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H9-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)