29 Jun · 03:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1631
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Shcherbak
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1538
FormLLWWW
60%
40%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)