28 Jun · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1432
FormWLWWL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1755
FormWWWLW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
30%
2-3
20%
3-2
10%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+323
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+323)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)