28 Jun · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1580
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
🌟Kovshun stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H20-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)