28 Jun · 12:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1445
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Shmyndra
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1434
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Shmyndra
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+11
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.