28 Jun · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1541
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
🌟Volkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H40-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.