28 Jun · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1464
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Droshchynskyi
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1552
FormLLWLW
41%
59%
🌟Holoborodko stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)