28 Jun · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1471
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sopivnyk
DH
🇺🇦Daniil Habrelyan
ELO 1449
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+22
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.