28 Jun · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1563
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1631
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H29-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)