28 Jun · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vietrov
VV
🇺🇦Vitalii Vietrov
ELO 1571
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
🌟Kovshun stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Vietrov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)