28 Jun · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1432
FormWLWWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Aristarkhov
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1665
FormLWLWL
27%
73%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+233
H2H20-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+233)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-4)