28 Jun · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1569
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kryshtal
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1656
FormWLLLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H28-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-20)