28 Jun · 23:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1608
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kozachuk
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1546
FormWWWWW
57%
43%
🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H11-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-0)