29 Jun · 04:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1614
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kozachuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1532
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovalchuk🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H23-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-21)