29 Jun · 00:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1546
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lazebny
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1538
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kovalchuk🌟Lazebny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H12-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.