28 Jun · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1471
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hura
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1445
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Shmyndra stays under total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Hura
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.