28 Jun · 07:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1523
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Savenkov
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Savenkov
ELO 1570
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Savenkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H20-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-2)