28 Jun · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1549
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1580
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H27-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.