28 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1464
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sopivnyk
RS
🇺🇦Ruslan Sopivnyk
ELO 1471
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Holoborodko stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Sopivnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H8-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.