28 Jun · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1471
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mitla
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1471
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hura
Fair odds · Mitla
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H13-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.