28 Jun · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1529
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Bondarenko
DH
🇺🇦Daniil Habrelyan
ELO 1449
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)