28 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1716
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kasyanov
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1755
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Lushchyk covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Kasyanov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H54-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.