28 Jun · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1538
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1580
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Khairov stays under total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+42
H2H29-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-21)