28 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YH
🇺🇦Yevhenii Holoborodko
ELO 1464
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Holoborodko
DH
🇺🇦Daniil Habrelyan
ELO 1449
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Holoborodko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+15
H2H5-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.