28 Jun · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1569
FormWLWWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Horokh
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1791
FormWWWWL
28%
72%
🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
21%
3-2
13%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H72-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-12)