28 Jun · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DG
🇺🇦David Gasparovic
ELO 1633
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gasparovic
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Makara
ELO 1564
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Gasparovic
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)