28 Jun · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1529
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Droshchynskyi
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1552
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Droshchynskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.