28 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1569
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rulc
MK
🇺🇦Martin Kocvara
ELO 1546
FormWWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kocvara🌟Kocvara covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.