28 Jun · 13:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1503
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Khairov
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Khairov
ELO 1538
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Kovshun stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Khairov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H4-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.