29 Jun · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1608
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shcherbak
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1631
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H27-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.