28 Jun · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1580
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Troyan
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1541
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H47-73
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.